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UK Property Stocks Rise and Property Forecasts Turn Negative

UK Property Stocks Mar 2010 source RICS, Property Crumble

UK Property Stocks Mar 2010 source RICS, Property Crumble

UK Property stocks are on the rise as this months graph shows.

Currently, the average stock per surveyor is around 67 and you can see that the last trigger point for a property price crash was in late 2008 when property stocks reached 90 per surveyor.

Therefore, we have a long way to go until a sharp price in UK property prices is triggered – but we should expect further increases in stocks over the next 12 months as the number of new instructions is increasing faster than the number of new buyer enquiries.

The risks between a property crumble, property price stumble or all out property price crash are fairly evenly balanced, with the property crumble the most likely scenario, but all three being realistic possibilities.

Either way, the forecasting commentary from house price economists is turning more and more negative.